2007 Predictions
yeah yeah, so it’s not 1st January, but I spend summer hiding from the world so don’t do much thinking about this kind of thing.
These are mainly so I can look back in a year and see what I was thinking.
- Programmers will finally realize that WS-* is a pile of stinking rubbish designed to kill interoperability, not support it. The Big Business Steamroller will continue to wonder why it keeps getting beaten by small startups developing in more lightweight styles, but won’t be able to understand how much
SOAP Everywhere is costing them. Vista will do well commercially. Windows has never been about customer choice. Vista won’t change that.
People will still eat what they’re fed and think that computers have to be that unusable.- Firefox and Safari will continue to rock but no-one will care. Internet Explorer 8 will return to locking people into Windows. People won’t mind.
- The masses will continue to deny that Richard Dawkins is right. Firebombs may be involved.
- Apple will release a new application that people weren’t expecting. It will rock.
- Using
Transactional Memory to make parallel programming easier will turn out to not work very well. Scaling applications upwards requires a redesign, not behind the scenes hacks. It’ll show some promise for small numbers of cores (2-8) but will fail horribly above that.
- Colin